Brook Soto's Points props home games have been a mixed bag. In 90 games, he's hit the over 48.2% of the time, averaging 16.63 against a 16.55 line. The +0.08 differential suggests no strong lean either way— look for additional edges before betting this spot.

The Numbers: 40-43-7 O/U

48.2% Over Rate
16.63 Avg PTS
16.55 Avg Line
+0.1 Avg vs Line
-8.0% Over ROI
90 Games
OVER 48.2%
UNDER 51.8%
⚖️ Verdict: Coin Flip

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 48.2% Over (40-43)
Away 0% Over (0-0)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 16.0 73.2% Over
Line > 16.0 23.8% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 40.0% Over (2-3)
Last 10 40.0% Over (4-6)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📊 No Clear Edge Here

This prop is close to a coin flip. Look for line value or combine with other factors.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Brook Soto's Points prop record home games?

Brook Soto has gone OVER on points props in 40 of 90 games (48.2%) home games. The full O/U record is 40-43-7.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Brook Soto Points?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -8.0% ROI while the UNDER has returned -1.1% ROI in this spot.

What's Brook Soto's average Points home games?

Brook Soto averages 16.63 points home games, compared to an average prop line of 16.55. That's a differential of +0.1 vs the number.

How reliable is this Points trend for Brook Soto?

This trend is based on 90 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-18 to 2025-05-20.

Methodology

This analysis covers 90 games from 2020-10-18 to 2025-05-20. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026