Brook Lopez has demolished blocks totals over his last 10 games, going over the line 70% of the time with a +33.6% ROI. His 1.9 average blocks per game sits 0.4 above typical lines, creating consistent value. This trend strongly favors the over.
Expert Analysis
Lopez's blocks surge reflects Milwaukee's defensive scheme evolution and his role as the primary rim protector. The 70% over rate isn't just statistical noise—it represents a fundamental shift in how opposing teams attack the Bucks' defense. Lopez has positioned himself as the last line of defense more frequently, leading to increased block opportunities. The +0.4 differential between his average and typical lines suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to this defensive uptick. His 1.9 blocks per game over this stretch represents elite rim protection numbers, particularly impressive for a 36-year-old center. The sustainability question looms large given Lopez's age and the physical demands of shot-blocking, but his positioning and timing remain sharp. Milwaukee's pace and style create natural block opportunities, especially when they force opponents into contested interior shots. The 6-game over streak within this sample shows remarkable consistency, though the recent 1-game streak suggests some natural variance. Lopez's blocks production correlates strongly with opponent pace and three-point shooting tendencies—teams that attack the rim more frequently give him more chances to record blocks.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Lopez's 70% over rate and +0.4 average differential create legitimate value, but age-related regression concerns prevent full conviction. Target games against teams with high interior shot rates and lower three-point attempt percentages. The trend shows staying power through scheme changes, but monitor for any signs of fatigue or reduced minutes that could impact block opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Brook Lopez's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Brook Lopez has gone over his blocks total in 7 of his last 10 games (70% over rate) with a 7-3-0 record. This strong over trend has generated a +33.6% ROI for over bettors during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Brook Lopez Blocks last 10 games?
Lean over on Lopez blocks props based on his 70% over rate and 1.9 average versus typical 1.5 lines. The trend shows consistency with a +0.4 differential, though age-related regression remains a concern.
What's Brook Lopez's average Blocks last 10 games?
Lopez is averaging 1.9 blocks per game over his last 10 contests, which sits 0.4 blocks above the typical 1.5 line. This differential has created consistent value for over bettors throughout this sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Lopez blocks overs against teams with high interior shot rates and lower three-point percentages. Avoid back-to-back situations where fatigue might limit his rim protection effectiveness and defensive positioning.