Bennedict Mathurin has delivered exceptional three-point value over his last 10 games, hitting the over 60% of the time with a massive +0.9 differential above the typical 1.5 line. This 14.6% ROI on overs represents a significant market inefficiency worth exploiting.
Expert Analysis
Mathurin's three-point surge reflects his evolving role in Indiana's offense and improved shot selection discipline. The 2.4 average against a 1.5 line reveals books haven't adjusted to his increased volume and efficiency from beyond the arc. His 60% over rate isn't just variance—it's systematic undervaluation by oddsmakers who may be anchored to his earlier season struggles. The +0.9 differential is substantial for a low-total prop, suggesting Mathurin has found his rhythm in Rick Carlisle's system. The timing aligns with Indiana's playoff push, where Mathurin's spacing becomes crucial alongside Tyrese Haliburton's playmaking. However, the recent one-game under streak and lack of split data creates some uncertainty about sustainability. The 14.6% ROI on overs demonstrates clear market value, but regression risk exists if his shot attempts decrease or efficiency normalizes. The absence of home/away or opponent-specific splits limits our ability to identify optimal betting spots, making this more of a blanket trend play than a situational edge.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +0.9 differential and 60% over rate indicate genuine market inefficiency in Mathurin's three-point props. Target this when the line stays at 1.5, as his 2.4 average provides substantial cushion. Main risk is shot volume regression if Indiana's rotation changes or if books finally adjust the line upward to reflect his recent form.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 7.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Bennedict Mathurin's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Mathurin has gone 6-4 over his three-point props in the last 10 games, hitting overs 60% of the time. This 6-4-0 record has generated a strong 14.6% ROI for over bettors during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Bennedict Mathurin 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Mathurin's three-point props. His 2.4 average significantly exceeds the typical 1.5 line, creating a +0.9 differential that represents genuine value. The 60% over rate and positive ROI support this approach.
What's Bennedict Mathurin's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Mathurin is averaging 2.4 three-pointers made over his last 10 games compared to the standard 1.5 line. This +0.9 differential above the betting line represents substantial value for over bettors in this low-total prop market.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Mathurin three-point overs when the line remains at 1.5, especially during Indiana's playoff push where his spacing is crucial. Avoid if the line moves to 2.5, as that eliminates the key value differential.