Anthony Edwards shows a clear under bias with just 42.2% overs across 90 games, averaging 2.58 three-pointers against a 2.73 line. The -0.2 differential and +10.3% under ROI create a compelling fade opportunity on his three-point volume.
Expert Analysis
Edwards' three-point prop presents a textbook case of market overcorrection based on his explosive scoring reputation. While he's evolved into a legitimate offensive centerpiece, his three-point volume remains inconsistent relative to bookmaker expectations. The 2.58 average against a 2.73 line reveals oddsmakers consistently overestimate his perimeter attempts by nearly a quarter-shot per game. This gap stems from Edwards' versatility as a scorer—he generates offense through drives, mid-range pull-ups, and transition opportunities that don't require three-point volume. His shot selection has matured, leading to more selective three-point attempts rather than the high-volume approach markets price in. The under's 10.3% ROI across 90 games demonstrates sustainable value, as Edwards prioritizes efficiency over volume in Minnesota's system. His recent streak patterns show volatility, with the longest under streak hitting five games, indicating he can go cold from deep for extended periods. The market hasn't fully adjusted to his evolved offensive approach, creating persistent value on the under. Without significant role changes or injury concerns forcing increased three-point attempts, this trend appears sustainable given Edwards' current offensive philosophy and the Timberwolves' balanced attack.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 42.2% over rate and consistent -0.2 differential create genuine value on Edwards three-point unders. Target this prop when the line sits at 2.5 or higher, as his 2.58 average provides the strongest edge. Main risk is a potential hot shooting streak or game script forcing increased three-point volume in blowout situations.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-16 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-26 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Edwards's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Edwards has gone over his three-pointers made prop in just 38 of 90 games (42.2%) while going under 52 times. His under record significantly outweighs overs, creating a clear directional edge for bettors targeting the under consistently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Edwards 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Edwards three-pointers made props. His 42.2% over rate and +10.3% under ROI across 90 games create sustainable value. Target lines at 2.5 or higher where his 2.58 average provides the strongest mathematical edge.
What's Anthony Edwards's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Edwards averages 2.58 three-pointers made per game across all situations, which sits 0.2 shots below the typical 2.73 line. This consistent gap between his actual production and market expectations creates the foundation for profitable under betting.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Edwards three-point unders when lines are set at 2.5 or higher, maximizing the gap between his 2.58 average and the number. Avoid betting during potential blowout games where garbage time could inflate his three-point attempts artificially.