Anthony Edwards shows no clear edge on points props with 2+ days rest, hitting exactly 50.0% overs across 20 games. His 25.55 average falls 1.6 points below the typical 27.1 line, creating a slight lean toward unders despite the balanced record.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals Anthony Edwards as remarkably consistent after extended rest, which actually works against bettors seeking exploitable edges. His 25.55 scoring average with 2+ days rest sits meaningfully below his typical line of 27.1, yet the 50.0% over rate suggests books haven't fully adjusted. This creates an interesting dynamic where the raw numbers favor unders, but the market remains efficient. Edwards's recent under streak of just one game, following his longest over streak of four, indicates natural variance rather than a systematic pattern. The lack of split data prevents deeper context analysis, but the 20-game sample provides statistical relevance. The concerning element for over bettors is the consistent -1.6 point differential between his average and the line, suggesting books may actually be setting accurate numbers. Without additional context like opponent strength, home/away splits, or monthly performance, this becomes a pure numbers play. The negative ROI on both sides (-4.5%) confirms the market's efficiency, making this a classic example of why not every trend deserves action. Edwards appears to perform at his baseline level with extra rest rather than elevating or declining, which eliminates the rest advantage many players show.
Betting Verdict
PASS with MEDIUM confidence. The perfectly balanced 50.0% over rate combined with negative ROI on both sides screams market efficiency. While Edwards averages 1.6 points below the typical line, the even split suggests books have found the sweet spot. Without additional context or a meaningful edge, this becomes a coin flip with juice working against you.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 28.5 | 17.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-12 | OPP | 25.5 | 29.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-25 | OPP | 27.5 | 34.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 27.5 | 28.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-01 | OPP | 25.5 | 29.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 27.5 | 9.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 29.5 | 16.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 29.5 | 31.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 29.5 | 44.0 | +14.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 27.5 | 34.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 27.5 | 28.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 25.5 | 23.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 27.5 | 27.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-26 | OPP | 28.5 | 25.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-20 | OPP | 26.5 | 27.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Edwards's Points prop record 2+ days rest?
Anthony Edwards goes 10-10-0 on points overs with 2+ days rest, hitting exactly 50.0% across 20 games from October 2023 to March 2025. This perfect split indicates efficient market pricing.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Edwards Points 2+ days rest?
Pass on Anthony Edwards points props with extra rest. The 50.0% over rate and negative ROI on both sides show no exploitable edge, making this a pure coin flip against the juice.
What's Anthony Edwards's average Points 2+ days rest?
Edwards averages 25.55 points with 2+ days rest compared to his typical 27.1 line, creating a -1.6 differential. This suggests he performs slightly below expectations after extended rest periods.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Edwards points props with 2+ days rest due to market efficiency. Look for spots with less rest or specific matchup advantages where his usage and pace create clearer edges.