Anthony Edwards has hit blocks overs just 20% of the time over his last 10 games, going 2-8-0 against the line with a brutal -0.3 average differential. The under has delivered a 52.7% ROI while overs hemorrhaged 61.8%. This is a strong lean under situation.
Expert Analysis
Edwards's blocks production has fallen off a cliff, averaging just 0.2 blocks against a 0.5 line over this 10-game stretch. The -0.3 differential tells the story of a player whose defensive positioning and gambling instincts simply aren't generating the steal-blocks that inflate guard block totals. Edwards has always been more of a perimeter defender focused on staying attached to his man rather than roaming for help-side blocks. His 6'4" frame limits his rim protection upside, and Minnesota's defensive scheme typically has him chasing opposing guards rather than providing weak-side help. The 20% over rate isn't just bad luck – it reflects Edwards's role evolution as he's become more disciplined defensively, staying home rather than gambling for blocks. The longest under streak of six games demonstrates consistency in this trend. With Edwards averaging career-low block numbers while taking on increased offensive responsibilities, the physical and mental energy allocation strongly favors continued under performance. The books appear slow to adjust, keeping the 0.5 line despite overwhelming evidence that Edwards rarely reaches it.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Edwards's 0.2 average against a 0.5 line creates clear value, supported by an 80% under rate and 52.7% ROI. His defensive role prioritizes perimeter coverage over help-side gambling, making blocks incidental rather than systematic. The main risk is a blowout game where Edwards gets extra possessions, but his disciplined approach makes even those situations unlikely to generate blocks. Target this prop consistently.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Edwards's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Edwards went 2-8-0 on blocks overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 20% with a -0.3 average differential. The under produced a 52.7% ROI while overs lost 61.8%, showing clear market value on the under side.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Edwards Blocks last 10 games?
Bet under on Edwards blocks props. His 0.2 average against a 0.5 line over 10 games creates consistent value, supported by an 80% under rate and his defensive role focusing on perimeter coverage rather than help-side blocks.
What's Anthony Edwards's average Blocks last 10 games?
Edwards averaged 0.2 blocks over his last 10 games against a typical 0.5 line, creating a -0.3 differential. This represents a significant shortfall that reflects his role as a perimeter defender rather than a help-side shot blocker.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Edwards blocks unders consistently when the line sits at 0.5. His perimeter-focused defensive role and 0.2 average create ongoing value. Avoid in potential blowouts where extra possessions might inflate opportunities, though his disciplined approach limits even those risks.