Anthony Edwards blocks props at home present a clear edge toward the under, hitting just 43.3% of overs across 30 games with a -17.3% ROI on overs versus +8.2% on unders. His 0.5 average exactly matches the standard line, but the consistent under performance suggests defensive positioning limitations at home.
Expert Analysis
Edwards' home blocks trend reveals the limitations of betting perimeter players in defensive categories. As a shooting guard who averages 35.8 minutes per game, Edwards spends most possessions focused on offensive creation and perimeter defense rather than rim protection. The 0.5 blocks average at home isn't surprising given his role, but the 56.7% under rate suggests books may be pricing this line based on his athleticism rather than actual defensive positioning. Home games often feature more structured offensive sets from opponents, reducing the chaotic possessions where guards typically accumulate blocks through deflections and help defense. Edwards' defensive responsibilities at Target Center center around containing opposing guards and providing help on drives, not challenging shots at the rim. The -17.3% ROI on overs indicates sharp money consistently targets the under, recognizing that Edwards' primary value comes through scoring and playmaking. With equal streaks of six games over and under, this isn't about hot or cold shooting but rather fundamental role limitations. The 8.2% positive ROI on unders, while modest, represents consistent value over a meaningful 30-game sample.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Edwards' 56.7% under rate at home reflects his limited opportunities for blocks as a perimeter-focused guard. The positive 8.2% ROI on unders versus negative 17.3% on overs indicates market inefficiency. Target games against slower-paced opponents with established offensive systems. Main risk is garbage time or blowout scenarios where Edwards might see increased help defense opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Edwards's Blocks prop record home games?
Edwards has gone under his blocks prop in 17 of 30 home games (56.7%), producing a 13-17-0 over/under record. The under has generated an 8.2% ROI compared to -17.3% on overs, showing clear market inefficiency favoring the under.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Edwards Blocks home games?
Bet the under on Edwards blocks at home. His 56.7% under rate and positive 8.2% ROI on unders versus negative 17.3% on overs indicates consistent value. His perimeter role limits block opportunities in structured home environments.
What's Anthony Edwards's average Blocks home games?
Edwards averages exactly 0.5 blocks per game at home, matching the standard 0.5 line with zero differential. However, this average masks the fact that he goes under this number 56.7% of the time, creating betting value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Edwards blocks unders during home games against methodical, half-court offensive teams. Avoid when Minnesota faces up-tempo opponents or in potential blowout scenarios where Edwards might see increased help defense responsibilities in garbage time.