Anthony Davis's three-point props present a razor-thin edge with a 50% over rate and minimal +0.2 differential above the 0.5 line over his last 10 games. The negative ROI on both sides signals efficient market pricing, making this a marginal spot that warrants caution.
Expert Analysis
Davis's three-point shooting represents one of the most efficiently priced props in the market, with his 0.7 average barely exceeding the standard 0.5 line. The 50% over rate reflects his role as an opportunistic shooter rather than a volume threat from deep. His three-point attempts correlate heavily with game flow and opponent defensive schemes—he's more likely to attempt threes when the Lakers trail and need to extend possessions or when facing teams that pack the paint against his interior dominance. The two-game under streak suggests recent defensive adjustments or game scripts that haven't favored his perimeter shooting. Davis's three-point variance is enormous given the low volume, making individual game outcomes highly unpredictable. The negative ROI on both sides indicates sharp money has eliminated most edges, with books accurately pricing his situational three-point frequency. His shooting mechanics remain sound, but opportunity variance creates the primary uncertainty. Without clear splits showing favorable matchups or pace situations, this prop lacks the predictable patterns that create sustainable betting value.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. The efficient market pricing and negative ROI on both sides eliminate any meaningful edge despite Davis averaging above the line. His three-point shooting depends heavily on game script and defensive coverage, creating high variance that the books have accurately priced. Without clear situational advantages, this represents a coin flip with no expected value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Anthony Davis props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Davis's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Anthony Davis has gone over his three-pointers made prop exactly 5 times in his last 10 games for a 50% over rate. He's averaging 0.7 makes against a typical 0.5 line, creating a modest +0.2 differential.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Davis 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Pass on Anthony Davis three-point props. The 50% over rate and negative ROI on both sides indicate efficient market pricing with no edge. His low-volume shooting creates high variance without predictable value.
What's Anthony Davis's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Anthony Davis is averaging 0.7 three-pointers made over his last 10 games compared to the standard 0.5 line. This +0.2 differential appears modest but reflects his opportunistic rather than systematic approach from deep.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Davis three-point overs when the Lakers face pace-up teams or trail early, forcing extended possessions. Avoid props in expected blowouts where his interior dominance reduces perimeter attempts and game script limits shooting opportunities.