Anthony Davis's three-point prop presents a compelling under opportunity with a dismal 29.4% over rate across 51 games. His 0.41 average sits well below the standard 0.5 line, creating a sustainable -0.1 differential that has produced +34.8% ROI on unders. This is a clear lean under situation.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a stark story about Anthony Davis's role in the Lakers' offensive system. At 0.41 makes per game against a 0.5 line, Davis consistently falls short of market expectations by nearly 20%. This isn't random variance - it reflects his fundamental playing style and team usage patterns. Davis operates primarily in the paint and mid-range areas, with three-point attempts representing opportunistic shots rather than designed plays. The Lakers' pace and ball movement patterns rarely create consistent perimeter looks for their big man, especially with LeBron James and other guards handling primary shot creation duties. The 29.4% over rate across 51 games represents a significant sample size that suggests market inefficiency rather than player inconsistency. Davis's longest under streak of nine games demonstrates how extended periods without three-point production are normal for his playing profile. The current two-game under streak aligns with historical patterns, and his career trajectory shows no meaningful shift toward increased perimeter volume. Bettors should recognize that Davis's three-point production remains highly volatile and dependent on game flow rather than systematic offensive design.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Anthony Davis's 0.41 average creates a meaningful edge against the 0.5 line, supported by strong historical under performance and his paint-first playing style. Target games where the Lakers face elite interior defense that might push him outside, but avoid back-to-backs where his minutes could be limited. The main risk is a hot shooting night inflating his makes despite limited attempts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Davis's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Anthony Davis has gone over his three-pointers made prop in just 15 of 51 games (29.4%) this season. His under record of 36-15 demonstrates consistent failure to reach the standard 0.5 line, creating a strong historical trend for under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Davis 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Anthony Davis's three-pointers made props. His 0.41 average sits well below the 0.5 line, and under bets have produced +34.8% ROI. His paint-focused playing style makes consistent three-point production unlikely in most game scenarios.
What's Anthony Davis's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Anthony Davis averages 0.41 three-pointers made per game, which is 0.1 makes below the typical 0.5 betting line. This differential has been consistent throughout the season, with his production rarely matching market expectations for perimeter shooting volume.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Anthony Davis three-point unders when the Lakers face teams with strong interior defense that might force him outside, but avoid games where he's listed as questionable or on back-to-backs where his role might be reduced significantly.