Anthony Davis blocks props show a clear under bias with just 46.2% overs across 52 games, hitting under bets at a profitable 2.8% ROI. His 2.17 average sits 0.06 blocks below the typical 2.23 line, creating consistent value on the under.
Expert Analysis
The Anthony Davis blocks under trend stems from sportsbooks overvaluing his defensive reputation relative to current production. At 2.17 blocks per game against a 2.23 average line, Davis consistently falls short of inflated expectations. This 0.06 differential might seem minimal, but it compounds over volume, explaining the profitable 2.8% under ROI versus the costly -11.9% over ROI. The Lakers' improved pace and Davis's increased offensive responsibilities have subtly shifted his defensive positioning, reducing rim protection opportunities. His 24-28 under record isn't coincidental—it reflects a market adjustment lag where books remain anchored to Davis's peak shot-blocking seasons. The current two-game under streak aligns with this broader pattern, though his historical volatility (longest streaks of 5 overs and 4 unders) prevents extreme regression expectations. Most concerning for over bettors is the consistency of this underperformance across the full sample period, suggesting structural rather than variance-driven factors. Davis remains an elite defender, but his blocks production has stabilized below market pricing, creating a sustainable edge for disciplined under betting.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 53.8% under hit rate combined with positive ROI creates legitimate value, though the edge isn't overwhelming. Davis's consistent underperformance against inflated lines offers the strongest angle, particularly when books set 2.5+ blocks. Primary risk involves potential defensive scheme changes or blowout scenarios increasing garbage-time rim protection opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 6.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Davis's Blocks prop record all games?
Anthony Davis has gone under his blocks prop in 28 of 52 games (53.8%) this season, averaging 2.17 blocks per game. His under record translates to a 2.8% ROI for under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Davis Blocks all games?
Lean under on Anthony Davis blocks props. His 2.17 average sits below typical 2.23 lines, creating consistent value. The 53.8% under rate and positive ROI support this approach over volume.
What's Anthony Davis's average Blocks all games?
Anthony Davis averages 2.17 blocks per game this season, which sits 0.06 blocks below his typical 2.23 prop line. This small but consistent gap creates the foundation for profitable under betting.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Anthony Davis blocks unders when lines are set at 2.5 or higher, maximizing the value gap. Avoid during potential blowouts where garbage time could inflate his defensive opportunities and blocks total.