Anfernee Simons has obliterated blocks unders with a devastating 1-9-0 record over his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% of overs while averaging 0.1 blocks against a 0.5 line. This represents an 80.9% ROI disaster for over bettors and a 71.8% goldmine for under backers.
Expert Analysis
Anfernee Simons's blocks production has been virtually non-existent, creating one of the most reliable under trends in the NBA. At 6'3" and playing primarily shooting guard, Simons lacks the physical tools and defensive positioning to generate consistent blocks. His role in Portland's offense demands he focus on perimeter scoring and playmaking rather than rim protection. The 0.4 block differential below the standard 0.5 line isn't marginal variance—it reflects a fundamental mismatch between his skill set and this particular prop. Guards typically struggle with blocks props, but Simons has taken this to an extreme level. His longest under streak reached eight games, demonstrating remarkable consistency in failing to reach even the minimal 0.5 threshold. The Trail Blazers' defensive scheme doesn't position Simons for help-side blocks, and his offensive usage rate keeps him focused on creating shots rather than disrupting them. Portland's pace and style of play further limit his defensive impact opportunities. This isn't a temporary slump but rather a reflection of positional limitations and role definition. The 10.0% over rate suggests books may be overvaluing his occasional defensive flash plays while ignoring his consistent inability to impact shots at rim level.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Simons has demonstrated an almost supernatural inability to reach 0.5 blocks, making this one of the most reliable props in basketball. The combination of his size limitations, offensive role, and Portland's defensive system creates perfect conditions for continued under success. The primary risk is an outlier game with garbage-time defensive opportunities, but even that hasn't materialized in this 10-game sample.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Blocks Prop Lines
Compare Anfernee Simons props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anfernee Simons's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Anfernee Simons has gone 1-9-0 on blocks overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% of over bets. This represents one of the worst over rates for any prop in the NBA during this timeframe.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anfernee Simons Blocks last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER with high confidence. Simons has proven incapable of reaching 0.5 blocks consistently, averaging just 0.1 per game. His role and physical limitations make this trend highly sustainable.
What's Anfernee Simons's average Blocks last 10 games?
Simons is averaging 0.1 blocks over his last 10 games against a typical 0.5 line, creating a massive -0.4 differential. This gap represents fundamental role limitations rather than temporary variance.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Simons blocks unders consistently regardless of matchup, as his limitations transcend opponent quality. Focus on games where he's likely to play heavy offensive minutes, further limiting defensive impact opportunities.