Andrew Nembhard's three-point prop presents a perfectly balanced 5-5 over/under record across his last 10 games, with his 1.1 average sitting just 0.1 makes above the typical 1.0 line. The minimal edge and negative ROI on both sides suggest this is a coin flip market with no clear betting advantage.
Expert Analysis
Nembhard's three-point production over this 10-game sample reveals a player operating right at his expected output level, which creates a challenging betting environment. The 1.1 average against a 1.0 line represents the smallest possible edge, essentially within the margin of statistical noise. What's particularly telling is the negative ROI on both sides (-4.5%), indicating that even when the bet hits, the juice is eating into any potential profits. The streak data shows moderate volatility with a longest over streak of just two games and under streak of three, suggesting Nembhard lacks the consistency patterns that create exploitable betting opportunities. His role as a secondary ball-handler for Indiana means his three-point attempts are often situational rather than systematically generated, making his output more random than predictable. Without split data showing clear performance differentials based on matchup, rest, or game situation, we're left with a player whose three-point production appears to be efficiently priced by the market. The current one-game over streak provides no meaningful momentum given the short duration of his previous streaks.
Betting Verdict
PASS with HIGH confidence. This market appears efficiently priced with Nembhard's 1.1 average barely exceeding the 1.0 line, creating no meaningful edge for bettors. The negative ROI on both sides confirms the juice is eliminating any potential profit even when backing the right side. Without clear situational splits or momentum patterns, this represents a pure coin flip where the house edge makes consistent profit nearly impossible.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Andrew Nembhard's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Nembhard has gone 5-5 on his three-point props over the last 10 games, hitting the over exactly half the time. His 1.1 average sits marginally above the typical 1.0 line, creating a minimal 0.1 differential that barely favors the over.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Andrew Nembhard 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Pass on both sides. The market appears efficiently priced with negative ROI (-4.5%) on both overs and unders. The minimal edge and juice make this a losing proposition long-term regardless of which side you choose.
What's Andrew Nembhard's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Nembhard is averaging 1.1 three-pointers made over his last 10 games compared to the standard 1.0 line. This 0.1 differential is the smallest possible edge and falls within statistical noise, making it essentially meaningless for betting purposes.
How reliable is this trend?
There's no optimal time to bet Nembhard's three-point props based on this data. The lack of situational splits and consistent patterns, combined with negative ROI on both sides, suggests avoiding this market entirely until clearer edges emerge.