Andrew Nembhard shows marginal over value on rebounds with one day rest, posting 11-10-0 record (52.4% overs) while averaging 2.76 versus a 2.6 line. The +0.16 differential indicates slight upside, but the flat 0.0% over ROI suggests books have adjusted appropriately. Lean Over in favorable matchups.
Expert Analysis
Nembhard's rebounding profile on one day rest reveals a guard who consistently exceeds modest expectations, though not by enough to generate significant profit. The 52.4% over rate across 21 games demonstrates legitimate upside, particularly impressive for a 6'0" guard whose primary role centers on playmaking rather than crashing boards. His 2.76 average against a 2.6 line represents meaningful value in small doses, suggesting Indiana's pace and his usage create consistent rebounding opportunities. The balanced 11-10 record indicates neither dramatic over-performance nor regression patterns, pointing to sustainable production rather than variance-driven results. However, the 0.0% over ROI reveals that sportsbooks have identified this edge and adjusted lines accordingly. The lack of split data limits our ability to identify optimal spots, but Nembhard's consistency suggests his rebounding floor remains stable regardless of opponent. His recent one-game under streak means little given the small sample nature of daily props, while his longest over streak of four games demonstrates legitimate ceiling potential when conditions align favorably.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Nembhard's consistent 2.76 average against 2.6 lines provides legitimate mathematical edge, even if books have neutralized profit margins. Target games against pace-up opponents or teams allowing high guard rebounding rates, where his floor-ceiling combination creates optimal conditions. Main risk involves books continuing to adjust lines upward, potentially eliminating the small but real differential that makes this prop viable.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rebounds Prop Lines
Compare Andrew Nembhard props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Andrew Nembhard's Rebounds prop record 1 day rest?
Nembhard posts an 11-10-0 record (52.4% overs) on rebounds with one day rest across 21 games from January 2024 to April 2025, showing slight but consistent over value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Andrew Nembhard Rebounds 1 day rest?
Lean over on Nembhard rebounds with one day rest. His 2.76 average beats the typical 2.6 line, providing mathematical edge despite books adjusting for this tendency.
What's Andrew Nembhard's average Rebounds 1 day rest?
Nembhard averages 2.76 rebounds with one day rest compared to the standard 2.6 line, creating a +0.16 differential that represents legitimate upside for the Indiana guard.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Nembhard rebounds overs against pace-up teams or opponents allowing high guard rebounding rates, where his consistent 2.76 floor meets favorable game script conditions for ceiling outcomes.