Amen Thompson presents one of the NBA's most reliable under plays, posting a perfect 0-12-0 record on his three-pointers made prop with 0.0% overs. The Houston rookie averages exactly 0 makes against a 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential that has delivered +90.9% ROI on unders. This is a strong lean under with high conviction.
Expert Analysis
Thompson's three-point struggles stem from fundamental shooting mechanics and role definition rather than temporary variance. The 6'7" rookie has attempted just 12 three-pointers across these 12 games, connecting on zero — a shooting profile that reflects both poor form and coaching philosophy. Houston's development approach emphasizes Thompson's transition playmaking and defensive versatility over perimeter shooting, keeping his attempts minimal even when opportunities arise. His 0.0% three-point percentage isn't just bad luck; it's indicative of a player whose shooting stroke requires significant mechanical overhaul. The Rockets have consistently deployed Thompson in roles that minimize three-point attempts, favoring his slashing ability and court vision. Unlike typical shooting slumps that regress toward league averages, Thompson's complete absence of makes suggests deeper technical issues that won't resolve mid-season. The 0.5 line appears generous given his usage patterns and mechanical limitations. Books likely set this number anticipating eventual regression, but Thompson's shot selection and team role make even one make per game unlikely. His 12-game under streak isn't coincidence — it's the logical outcome of a non-shooter being asked to shoot sparingly in a system that doesn't prioritize his perimeter development.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with HIGH confidence. Thompson's perfect 0-12-0 under record reflects genuine shooting limitations rather than variance, making the 0.5 line beatable. The ideal betting condition is any game where Thompson projects for 25+ minutes, as increased playing time historically hasn't translated to three-point success. The primary risk is garbage time attempts in blowouts, though even then Thompson has shown reluctance to launch from deep.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 12 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Amen Thompson's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Thompson holds a perfect 0-12-0 record on his three-pointers made prop across all games, with zero overs in 12 attempts. He averages exactly 0.0 makes against a 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential that has never been overcome.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Amen Thompson 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Thompson's three-pointers made props with high confidence. His 0-12-0 record and mechanical shooting issues suggest the 0.5 line overvalues his three-point capability, making unders the clear value play in this market.
What's Amen Thompson's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Thompson averages exactly 0 three-pointers made per game against a typical 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This perfect negative differential across 12 games indicates the line consistently overestimates his three-point production by half a make.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Thompson three-point unders when he's projected for significant minutes in competitive games. His shooting struggles persist regardless of playing time, and close games minimize garbage time attempts that could threaten the under.