Alex Caruso's three-pointers made prop presents a compelling under opportunity with just 33.3% overs hitting across 18 games. His 1.67 average sits below the typical 1.72 line, creating a modest but consistent edge that's delivered +27.3% ROI on unders.
Expert Analysis
Caruso's three-point struggles reflect his evolving role in Oklahoma City's deep rotation where shot opportunities remain inconsistent. The Thunder's pace-and-space offense theoretically benefits shooters, but Caruso's 33.3% over rate suggests he's not capitalizing on these opportunities at the rate books expect. His current four-game under streak isn't an anomaly but rather indicative of a player whose three-point volume fluctuates based on game flow and matchup dynamics. The -0.1 differential between his average and the line appears small, but it's meaningful over larger samples when combined with his low variance shooting patterns. Caruso's defensive-first mentality often limits his offensive aggressiveness, particularly from deep where he's more selective than volume shooters. The Thunder's depth means his minutes and shot attempts can vary significantly, creating additional uncertainty around reaching higher three-point totals. While regression toward his career norms could eventually surface, his current role and the team's offensive hierarchy suggest this under trend has legitimate staying power. The books appear slow to adjust to his reduced three-point frequency in this specific system.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Caruso's 33.3% over rate and four-game under streak reflect genuine role limitations rather than temporary shooting variance. The Thunder's depth and his defensive focus create natural volume constraints that make 2+ threes inconsistent. Target spots where the line sits at 1.5 or higher, particularly in games where Oklahoma City's pace might be slower or against teams that don't force three-point attempts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Alex Caruso's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Alex Caruso has gone over his three-pointers made prop just 6 times in 18 games (33.3% rate) with a 6-12-0 record. His under bets have generated +27.3% ROI while overs show -36.4% ROI, indicating a clear statistical edge.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Alex Caruso 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Alex Caruso's three-pointers made props. His 33.3% over rate and current four-game under streak reflect legitimate role constraints in Oklahoma City's system rather than temporary shooting slumps that typically regress.
What's Alex Caruso's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Alex Caruso averages 1.67 three-pointers made per game, which sits 0.05 makes below the typical 1.72 line. This small but consistent differential has proven profitable for under bettors across his 18-game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Alex Caruso three-point unders when the line is set at 1.5 or higher, particularly in slower-paced games or against defensive teams that limit transition opportunities where he's most likely to attempt multiple threes.