Overall Steals: 13-18-0 O/U
41.9%
Over Rate
0.81
Avg STL
0.73
Avg Line
+0.1
Avg vs Line
-19.9%
Over ROI
31
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Steals Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Steals Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 13-18 | 41.9% | 0.73 | 0.81 | -19.9% |
| Away Games | 4-11 | 26.7% | 0.77 | 0.47 | -49.1% |
| Home Games | 9-7 | 56.2% | 0.69 | 1.12 | +7.4% |
| Last 10 Games | 5-5 | 50.0% | 0.5 | 0.6 | -4.5% |
| 1 Day Rest | 9-14 | 39.1% | 0.8 | 0.83 | -25.3% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
56.2% Over
Away
26.7% Over
By Line Range
Line < -1.5
—% Over
Line > 2.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
50.0% Over
Other Aaron Nesmith Props
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View ATS records and betting trends
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Aaron Nesmith's overall Steals prop record?
Aaron Nesmith is 13-18 O/U on Steals props across all situations (41.9% over rate).
When does Aaron Nesmith go OVER on Steals the most?
Aaron Nesmith's best Steals situation is Home Games, where they hit the over 56.2% of the time.
What's Aaron Nesmith's average Steals per game?
Aaron Nesmith averages 0.81 STL per game vs an average line of 0.73.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Away Games is Aaron Nesmith's worst Steals situation at just 26.7% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 31 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.