Overall Points: 17-22-0 O/U
43.6%
Over Rate
12.46
Avg PTS
12.71
Avg Line
-0.2
Avg vs Line
-16.8%
Over ROI
39
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Points Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Points Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 17-22 | 43.6% | 12.71 | 12.46 | -16.8% |
| Away Games | 9-11 | 45.0% | 12.7 | 11.8 | -14.1% |
| Home Games | 8-11 | 42.1% | 12.71 | 13.16 | -19.6% |
| Last 10 Games | 5-5 | 50.0% | 12.3 | 12.8 | -4.5% |
| 1 Day Rest | 12-17 | 41.4% | 12.88 | 12.1 | -21.0% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
42.1% Over
Away
45.0% Over
By Line Range
Line < 10.5
—% Over
Line > 14.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
50.0% Over
Other Aaron Nesmith Props
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View ATS records and betting trends
Find the Best Points Prop Lines
Compare Aaron Nesmith props across sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Aaron Nesmith's overall Points prop record?
Aaron Nesmith is 17-22 O/U on Points props across all situations (43.6% over rate).
When does Aaron Nesmith go OVER on Points the most?
Aaron Nesmith's best Points situation is Last 10 Games, where they hit the over 50.0% of the time.
What's Aaron Nesmith's average Points per game?
Aaron Nesmith averages 12.46 PTS per game vs an average line of 12.71.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
1 Day Rest is Aaron Nesmith's worst Points situation at just 41.4% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 39 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.