Phoenix Suns Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Phoenix Suns hold a record of 151-74-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +28.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $63 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 16-7-0 | 0.0% | +32.8% |
| 2015 | 11-6-0 | 0.0% | +23.5% |
| 2016 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2017 | 17-9-0 | 0.0% | +24.8% |
| 2018 | 12-5-0 | 0.0% | +34.8% |
| 2019 | 11-11-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 19-8-0 | 0.0% | +34.3% |
| 2021 | 19-9-0 | 0.0% | +29.6% |
| 2022 | 11-5-0 | 0.0% | +31.2% |
| 2023 | 12-1-0 | 0.0% | +76.2% |
| 2024 | 12-5-0 | 0.0% | +34.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Suns' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational culture of proving doubters wrong, particularly when national audiences are watching. Phoenix has historically thrived when expectations are low, with players feeding off the energy of being overlooked by oddsmakers and media narratives. The franchise's desert market mentality creates a chip-on-the-shoulder dynamic that translates into focused, high-energy performances under the bright lights. Their strategic advantage lies in head coach Frank Vogel's ability to simplify game plans for marquee matchups, allowing stars like Devin Booker and Kevin Durant to operate within clear offensive structures while the supporting cast plays with house money. The Suns also benefit from opponents potentially overlooking them in nationally televised games, where star-heavy teams often rely on talent over preparation. The psychological element cannot be understated – Phoenix players understand these games represent their best opportunities to shift public perception and gain respect league-wide. This creates an intangible motivation factor that consistently translates into outperforming market expectations. This trend carries the most weight when the Suns are catching points of 4 or more in primetime spots, particularly against championship contenders who may approach the game with overconfidence.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Phoenix Suns have an ATS record of 151-74-0 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 67.1% ATS win rate over 225 games.
Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Phoenix Suns as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 28.1% ROI. Their 67.1% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the breakeven point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Suns' 67.1% ATS rate as primetime underdogs represents one of the strongest betting trends in the NBA over this period.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.