The public often underestimates the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Phoenix Suns hold a record of 72-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +40.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $39 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record72-26-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size98 games
ROI+40.3%
Units Won+39.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201410-4-00.0%+36.4%
20154-1-00.0%+52.7%
20168-3-00.0%+38.8%
20178-4-00.0%+27.3%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20194-2-00.0%+27.3%
202011-4-00.0%+40.0%
20219-1-00.0%+71.8%
20224-3-00.0%+9.1%
20237-0-00.0%+90.9%
20244-3-00.0%+9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Suns' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their core players' championship-level mentality. When facing significant point spreads, Phoenix benefits from reduced pressure and lowered expectations, allowing their talented roster to play with house money. The team's veteran leadership, particularly from players who've experienced deep playoff runs, translates into composed execution when written off by oddsmakers. Phoenix's offensive system thrives in underdog scenarios because opposing teams often approach these games with overconfidence, leading to defensive lapses that the Suns expertly exploit. Their ability to generate quality three-point looks and push pace creates scoring runs that can quickly erase large deficits. The team's depth also becomes a crucial factor, as role players tend to elevate their performance when given expanded opportunities against supposedly superior competition. The psychological edge cannot be understated - this franchise has consistently punched above its weight in high-stakes situations, and that mindset carries over to regular season games where they're heavily dismissed. Bettors should target Phoenix as large underdogs specifically in road games against elite competition, where the motivation disparity is most pronounced and the Suns' veteran poise becomes their greatest asset.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?

The Phoenix Suns have a 72-26-0 ATS record when playing as large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 73.5% ATS win rate over 98 games.

Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Phoenix Suns as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 40.3% ROI. Their 73.5% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is exceptional compared to league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any situation. The Suns' 73.5% ATS rate as large underdogs represents one of the strongest betting trends in the NBA.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.