Phoenix Suns Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Phoenix Suns are just 14-15-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2017 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2024 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Suns' mediocre road performance against division rivals stems from the unique intensity and familiarity that defines Pacific Division matchups. Playing against teams like the Lakers, Warriors, and Clippers multiple times per season creates a chess match dynamic where opponents have extensive film study and tactical adjustments ready. Phoenix's offensive system, heavily reliant on Chris Paul's court vision and Devin Booker's isolation scoring, becomes more predictable when facing coaches who've had months to prepare specific defensive schemes. Road environments in division games carry amplified hostility, particularly in markets like Los Angeles and Golden State where the stakes feel personal. The Suns have historically struggled with emotional regulation in these charged atmospheres, leading to rushed possessions and defensive breakdowns during crucial stretches. Their young core often gets caught up in the moment rather than executing their structured offensive sets. The psychological weight of division standings adds another layer of pressure. Unlike regular conference games, these matchups directly impact playoff seeding and potential first-round matchups, creating a tension that can manifest as overthinking rather than playing instinctively. This trend matters most during the final two months of the regular season when division positioning becomes critical for playoff seeding and home-court advantage scenarios.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Phoenix Suns have a 14-15-0 ATS record when playing as the away team against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.3% ATS win rate over 29 games.
Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Phoenix Suns as the away team vs division rivals has not been profitable, showing a -7.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Suns in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Suns' 48.3% ATS win rate in away division games is slightly below the typical 50% expectation for ATS performance. The -7.8% ROI also underperforms compared to break-even betting, making this a below-average trend for the franchise.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.