Phoenix Suns Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Phoenix Suns are just 38-78-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -37.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +37.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2015 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2016 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2018 | 1-10-0 | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| 2019 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2020 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2021 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 4-13-0 | 0.0% | -55.1% |
| 2024 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Suns' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and their actual road identity. Phoenix has historically been a team that thrives on home court energy and familiarity, with their uptempo style becoming more deliberate and conservative on the road. When oddsmakers install them as favorites away from home, they're often overvaluing the Suns' talent while underestimating how significantly their performance drops in hostile environments. Phoenix's road favorite failures typically occur against teams that can match their pace and exploit their defensive vulnerabilities. The Suns have consistently shown difficulty closing out games on the road when expectations are high, often falling victim to late-game execution issues that don't manifest as frequently at home. Their young core has repeatedly demonstrated an inability to handle the pressure of being expected to win in unfamiliar settings, leading to rushed possessions and defensive breakdowns in crucial moments. The most profitable approach is to target Phoenix road favorites against teams with strong home records or recent momentum. This trend becomes particularly valuable when the Suns are favored by 3-6 points on the road, as these spreads often reflect overconfidence in their ability to translate home success to away venues.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as away favorite?
The Phoenix Suns have an ATS record of 38-78-0 as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 38 of 116 games. This represents a poor 32.8% ATS win rate in this situation.
Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Phoenix Suns as away favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -37.5% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost $37.50 for every $100 wagered on the Suns in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Suns' 32.8% ATS win rate as away favorites is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%. This makes them one of the worst performing teams in this specific betting situation over the past decade.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.