Philadelphia 76ers Small Favorite (-1 to -3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia 76ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small favorite (-1 to -3), the Philadelphia 76ers are just 10-27-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -48.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +48.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The 76ers' struggles as small favorites stem from their historically volatile roster construction and organizational instability during much of this sample period. Philadelphia has consistently built teams around high-ceiling, high-variance players who can dominate elite competition but struggle to maintain focus against theoretically inferior opponents. This creates the classic "playing down to competition" scenario that makes small favorite spots particularly treacherous. The franchise's tendency toward dramatic roster overhauls and coaching changes has also disrupted the team chemistry needed to grind out wins in close games. When Philadelphia is heavily favored, their talent advantage is obvious and they can rely on superior ability. In small favorite situations, however, execution and mental preparation become paramount – areas where the 76ers have consistently fallen short due to leadership instability and roster turnover. Their recent offensive philosophy of isolation-heavy basketball compounds this issue, as it becomes predictable and easier to defend when opponents have nothing to lose. Teams facing Philadelphia as small underdogs often play with house money mentality, leading to inspired performances against a 76ers squad that may lack the defensive intensity to match that energy. This trend matters most during the regular season when Philadelphia faces middle-tier Eastern Conference opponents in potential trap game scenarios.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia 76ers's ATS record as small favorite (-1 to -3)?
The Philadelphia 76ers have a 10-27-0 ATS record as small favorites (-1 to -3 points) from 2014-2024. This represents a 27.0% cover rate across 37 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as small favorite (-1 to -3) profitable?
No, betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as small favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -48.4% ROI. This means bettors would have lost nearly half their investment backing the 76ers in these spots over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover around 50% of their games ATS. The 76ers' 27.0% cover rate as small favorites represents one of the worst trends in this betting situation across the NBA.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.