Philadelphia 76ers Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia 76ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7), the Philadelphia 76ers are just 42-52-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2015 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 5-7-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2017 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2020 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2023 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The 76ers' struggles as medium favorites stem from their chronic inconsistency in executing game plans when expectations are elevated. Philadelphia has historically been a team built around star talent—from the Process era through the Embiid-Harden partnership—but this top-heavy construction creates volatility when facing teams they're expected to handle comfortably. The franchise's tendency to play down to competition reflects deeper issues with focus and preparation against perceived lesser opponents. Joel Embiid's injury history compounds this problem, as the team often enters games as favorites based on his expected availability, only to see him sit or play limited minutes. The supporting cast lacks the depth to consistently cover spreads without their centerpiece, yet oddsmakers frequently price the 76ers as if he's guaranteed to dominate. Additionally, Philadelphia's defensive effort has been notoriously inconsistent against teams outside playoff contention, allowing back-door covers and failing to maintain intensity throughout four quarters. Smart bettors should target Philadelphia as medium favorites specifically in back-to-back situations or when facing teams with nothing to lose late in the season. This trend carries the most weight during stretches when the 76ers are fighting for playoff positioning but facing teams already eliminated from contention.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia 76ers's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?
The Philadelphia 76ers have a 42-52-0 ATS record as medium favorites (-3.5 to -7 point spreads) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.7% cover rate over 94 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?
No, betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as medium favorites has not been profitable, showing a -14.7% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the 76ers in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
The 76ers' 44.7% ATS cover rate as medium favorites is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Most successful teams cover around 50-52% of spreads in favorable betting situations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.