The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia 76ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Philadelphia 76ers are just 13-17-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -17.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +17.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record13-17-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size30 games
ROI-17.3%
Units Won-5.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-2-00.0%-4.5%
20150-5-00.0%-100.0%
20161-2-00.0%-36.4%
20172-0-00.0%+90.9%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-2-00.0%-36.4%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20221-3-00.0%-52.3%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20243-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The 76ers' struggles against divisional rivals at home stem from the unique psychological pressure that comes with facing familiar opponents in high-stakes environments. Division games carry extra weight for playoff positioning, and Philadelphia has historically shown a tendency to play tight in these moments, particularly during their rebuilding years when young players faced veteran-laden Atlantic Division squads like Boston and Toronto. The franchise's inconsistent roster construction over the past decade has amplified this issue. During "The Process" era, Philadelphia often lacked the veteran leadership necessary to navigate the emotional intensity of division matchups, where opponents know every tendency and exploit weaknesses with surgical precision. Home crowds expecting dominance against regional rivals only added pressure, leading to overthinking and mechanical play. Philadelphia's defensive schemes also tend to break down against familiar opponents who've had multiple opportunities to study their rotations and identify exploitable mismatches. Division rivals come prepared with specific game plans that neutralize the 76ers' home-court advantages. The key betting insight here is to fade Philadelphia when they're favored by more than six points against division opponents at home, as the pressure to cover large spreads against familiar foes has proven problematic. This trend carries the most weight during the final month of the regular season when division standings intensify playoff implications.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philadelphia 76ers's ATS record as home vs division rival?

The Philadelphia 76ers have a 13-17-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 43.3% ATS win rate over 30 games.

Is betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as home vs division rival profitable?

No, betting on the Philadelphia 76ers at home vs division rivals has not been profitable. The team shows a -17.3% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the typical 50% ATS expectation and league average. The -17.3% ROI indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in home division matchups.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.