The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia 76ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Philadelphia 76ers are just 5-8-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -26.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +26.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record5-8-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size13 games
ROI-26.6%
Units Won-3.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-1-00.0%-100.0%
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20242-2-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The 76ers' struggles as home favorites on zero rest stem from their historically top-heavy roster construction and reliance on star players who are particularly susceptible to fatigue. Philadelphia's offense has consistently revolved around ball-dominant creators like Joel Embiid and James Harden, whose effectiveness diminishes significantly when operating on tired legs. Unlike teams built around system-based basketball, the Sixers depend heavily on individual brilliance and half-court execution, both of which suffer when key players lack their usual burst and decision-making sharpness. The psychological element compounds this issue. As home favorites, the 76ers often face opponents playing with nothing-to-lose mentality while Philadelphia enters with heightened expectations despite physical disadvantages. The team's tendency to start games slowly becomes magnified on zero rest, allowing underdogs to build early confidence and momentum that proves difficult to overcome even at home. Bettors should target Philadelphia's opponents in these spots, particularly when facing teams with deeper rotations or more athletic, transition-oriented styles that can exploit the Sixers' likely sluggish pace. This trend matters most during condensed playoff pushes or after emotional overtime games when the physical and mental toll is highest.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philadelphia 76ers's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?

The Philadelphia 76ers have a 5-8-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 38.5% ATS win rate across 13 games.

Is betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as home favorite on zero rest profitable?

No, betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as home favorites on zero rest has not been profitable, showing a -26.6% ROI. Bettors would have lost significant money following this trend over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below average, as most home favorites typically cover at rates closer to 50%. The 76ers' 38.5% ATS rate in this situation represents poor value for bettors.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.