The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia 76ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Philadelphia 76ers are just 30-42-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -20.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +20.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record30-42-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size72 games
ROI-20.4%
Units Won-14.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-3-00.0%-4.5%
20153-8-00.0%-47.9%
20161-2-00.0%-36.4%
20173-1-00.0%+43.2%
20180-4-00.0%-100.0%
20192-3-00.0%-23.6%
20201-3-00.0%-52.3%
20214-3-00.0%+9.1%
20222-4-00.0%-36.4%
20232-4-00.0%-36.4%
20249-7-00.0%+7.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The 76ers' struggles as home favorites following losses stem from a franchise culture that has historically emphasized process over immediate results, creating a psychological disconnect when expectations clash with reality. Philadelphia's fanbase and media create intense pressure after defeats, particularly at Wells Fargo Center where the crowd's energy can become counterproductive when the team fails to meet inflated expectations as favorites. The organization's tendency to rely heavily on star players like Joel Embiid means that when key contributors are unavailable or underperforming after a loss, the supporting cast often lacks the mental fortitude to bounce back against quality opposition. The 76ers have also shown a pattern of overthinking adjustments following defeats, leading to hesitant offensive execution and defensive miscommunication in high-pressure home situations. Philadelphia's coaching changes and roster turnover during this period created inconsistent leadership when adversity struck. The team frequently struggled with shot selection and ball movement in these spots, as individual players pressed to make up for previous poor performances rather than trusting the system. Bettors should target this trend most aggressively when Philadelphia faces divisional opponents or teams with strong road records, as these matchups amplify the psychological pressure that historically derails the 76ers' home bounce-back attempts.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philadelphia 76ers's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?

The Philadelphia 76ers have a 30-42-0 ATS record as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 41.7% ATS win rate over 72 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as home favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as home favorites after a loss has not been profitable. The strategy shows a -20.4% ROI, meaning bettors would have lost approximately 20 cents for every dollar wagered over this 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the expected 52.4% break-even rate needed for profitable ATS betting. The 41.7% win rate indicates the 76ers have consistently failed to cover spreads in this specific situation, making it a fade-worthy trend.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.