Philadelphia 76ers Home Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia 76ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite, the Philadelphia 76ers are just 52-67-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -16.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +16.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2015 | 4-12-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2017 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2018 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2019 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2020 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2021 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 5-7-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2024 | 11-7-0 | 0.0% | +16.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The 76ers' struggles as home favorites stem from their historically volatile roster construction and organizational instability during much of this sample period. Philadelphia's "Process" era created teams that were either dramatically overvalued by oddsmakers due to talent on paper, or squads that lacked the veteran leadership necessary to handle expectations at home. The franchise's tendency to rely heavily on young stars like Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons meant inconsistent performances when the betting public expected dominance. Philadelphia's home court advantage at Wells Fargo Center has been neutralized by their propensity for slow starts and emotional swings. The team often plays down to lesser competition while getting hyped for marquee matchups, creating a mismatch between market perception and actual performance. Their defensive inconsistencies become magnified when favored, as opponents gain confidence attacking a team expected to control the game. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Philadelphia faces teams with nothing to lose - these spots historically produce the worst results for covering spreads. This trend carries the most weight when the 76ers are laying significant points against rebuilding teams or when coming off emotional wins that might lead to complacency.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia 76ers's ATS record as home favorite?
The Philadelphia 76ers have a 52-67-0 ATS record as home favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 43.7% of games. This translates to a 0.0% win rate against expectations.
Is betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as home favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as home favorites has not been profitable, showing a -16.6% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the 76ers in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the typical 50% ATS expectation for any team situation. The 43.7% cover rate and negative ROI indicate the 76ers have consistently failed to meet betting market expectations as home favorites.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.