The data suggests caution when backing the Orlando Magic in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the Orlando Magic are just 105-107-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record105-107-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size212 games
ROI-5.5%
Units Won-11.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-6-00.0%-23.6%
201513-6-00.0%+30.6%
20169-9-00.0%-4.5%
20179-10-00.0%-9.6%
201810-10-00.0%-4.5%
20195-11-00.0%-40.3%
202011-12-00.0%-8.7%
202113-15-00.0%-11.4%
202210-11-00.0%-9.1%
20239-7-00.0%+7.4%
202412-10-00.0%+4.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Magic's mediocre performance against non-conference opponents stems from their tendency to approach unfamiliar matchups with inconsistent intensity and preparation. Orlando has historically struggled with the strategic adjustments required when facing teams they encounter just twice per season, often falling into predictable offensive patterns that savvy non-conference coaches exploit. The franchise's frequent roster turnover and coaching changes have compounded this issue, as new systems take time to adapt against varied playing styles from the opposite conference. Orlando's home-heavy scheduling advantages within their own conference don't translate when hosting Western Conference teams who view road trips to Florida as opportunities to steal games against perceived weaker competition. The Magic's young core often lacks the veteran leadership needed to maintain focus against unfamiliar opponents, leading to the type of inconsistent efforts that make them unreliable betting propositions. The key insight for bettors is to fade Orlando when they're favored against non-conference opponents, particularly Western Conference teams with strong road records. These spots often present inflated lines based on home court advantage that doesn't materialize. This trend becomes most critical during the season's first two months when teams are still adjusting to new personnel and Orlando's young players haven't yet developed the maturity to handle diverse competition styles.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Orlando Magic's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The Orlando Magic has gone 105-107-0 against the spread when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.5% ATS win rate over 212 games.

Is betting on the Orlando Magic as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the Orlando Magic against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -5.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Their slightly below .500 ATS record of 105-107 indicates consistent underperformance against the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Magic's 49.5% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is slightly below the typical 50% league average. Their -5.5% ROI also factors in the standard -110 betting juice, making this a losing proposition for bettors.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.