Orlando Magic Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Orlando Magic in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the Orlando Magic are just 120-147-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-11-0 | 0.0% | -32.6% |
| 2015 | 15-12-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2016 | 10-14-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2017 | 12-9-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2018 | 11-17-0 | 0.0% | -25.0% |
| 2019 | 8-17-0 | 0.0% | -38.9% |
| 2020 | 13-11-0 | 0.0% | +3.4% |
| 2021 | 10-17-0 | 0.0% | -29.3% |
| 2022 | 8-17-0 | 0.0% | -38.9% |
| 2023 | 15-9-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2024 | 12-13-0 | 0.0% | -8.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Magic's struggles with extended rest stem from their young roster's difficulty maintaining rhythm and intensity after layoffs. Orlando has consistently fielded one of the youngest teams in the NBA over this sample period, and inexperienced players often lose their competitive edge when games are spaced too far apart. Unlike veteran-heavy squads that use rest strategically to recover, the Magic's youth means they rely more on game flow and momentum to perform at their peak. Orlando's offensive system has historically been predicated on ball movement and energy rather than pure talent, making them particularly vulnerable to the timing disruptions that come with extended breaks. When players lose their feel for each other's tendencies and court positioning, the Magic's already limited scoring ability becomes even more constrained. Their defensive intensity, often their calling card, also tends to wane without the consistent reinforcement that comes from regular game action. The coaching staff's challenge becomes evident in these situations, as they must essentially re-establish team chemistry and competitive habits that younger players haven't fully internalized. Bettors should be particularly wary of backing Orlando as favorites coming off long rests, especially in home games where public perception might inflate their value despite this clear historical weakness.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Orlando Magic's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The Orlando Magic has gone 120-147-0 against the spread when playing with three or more days of rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.0% ATS win rate over 267 games.
Is betting on the Orlando Magic as three or more days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Orlando Magic with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -14.2% ROI over the past decade. Their consistent underperformance against the spread in this situation makes it a losing proposition for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Magic's 45.0% ATS win rate with extended rest is below the typical league average of around 50%. Their -14.2% ROI indicates they consistently fail to meet expectations when well-rested, suggesting oddsmakers may overvalue their rest advantage.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.