Orlando Magic Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Orlando Magic in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Orlando Magic are just 35-81-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -42.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +42.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2016 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2017 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2018 | 0-7-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 4-8-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 6-9-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 4-9-0 | 0.0% | -41.3% |
| 2022 | 3-12-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2023 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2024 | 6-11-0 | 0.0% | -32.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Magic's struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and organizational reality during their rebuilding years. When Orlando travels as a favorite, it typically indicates they're facing teams in similar or worse positions, creating games where motivation and execution become paramount factors rather than pure talent differentials. Orlando's young core has historically lacked the veteran leadership and road game composure necessary to close out inferior opponents away from home. The pressure of being expected to win, combined with hostile environments and the natural variance of NBA games, has consistently exposed their mental fragility. Teams getting points against a rebuilding Magic squad often play with house money mentality, leading to inspired performances that catch Orlando off-guard. The franchise's inconsistent coaching situations and roster turnover during this period created additional instability in road game preparation and in-game adjustments. Young players tend to rely more heavily on familiar surroundings and routine, making road favorites spots particularly challenging for development-focused teams. Bettors should be most cautious when Orlando travels as a favorite against teams with veteran leadership or those in desperate situations late in seasons, as these scenarios amplify the psychological disadvantages that have plagued this franchise on the road.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Orlando Magic's ATS record as away favorite?
The Orlando Magic has a 35-81-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 35 games while failing to cover in 81 games. This represents a 30.2% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.
Is betting on the Orlando Magic as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Orlando Magic as away favorites is not profitable, with a -42.4% ROI from 2014-2024. This poor performance would result in significant losses for bettors consistently backing Orlando in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. Orlando's 30.2% ATS rate as away favorites represents one of the worst situational trends in the NBA over this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.