The data suggests caution when backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 214-225-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record214-225-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size439 games
ROI-6.9%
Units Won-30.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201418-21-00.0%-11.9%
201526-23-00.0%+1.3%
201619-15-00.0%+6.7%
201723-19-00.0%+4.5%
201818-25-00.0%-20.1%
201917-20-00.0%-12.3%
202024-20-00.0%+4.1%
202118-19-00.0%-7.1%
202218-24-00.0%-18.2%
202320-19-00.0%-2.1%
202413-20-00.0%-24.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Thunder's Sunday struggles stem from a combination of youth-related inconsistency and the psychological weight of primetime expectations. As one of the NBA's youngest rosters, Oklahoma City often lacks the veteran leadership needed to maintain focus during nationally televised Sunday games, where the spotlight intensifies and pace of play typically slows. Young players tend to overthink in these showcase moments, leading to forced shots and defensive breakdowns that create wider point spreads than their talent suggests. Sunday games also present unique scheduling challenges for the Thunder's high-energy system. Their relentless defensive pressure and transition-heavy offense requires peak conditioning, but Sunday contests often come with irregular rest patterns that disrupt their rhythm. The team's reliance on athleticism over half-court execution becomes more pronounced when legs are heavy, making them vulnerable to more experienced, methodical opponents who excel in grind-it-out scenarios. The most telling factor is Oklahoma City's tendency to play up or down to competition level on Sundays, creating unpredictable performances that oddsmakers struggle to properly price. This volatility makes them particularly dangerous as underdogs against elite teams but unreliable as favorites against inferior opponents. This trend carries the most weight when the Thunder face veteran-laden teams in nationally televised Sunday matchups, especially during the second half of the season when fatigue compounds their youth-related inconsistencies.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as sunday games?

The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 214-225-0 ATS record in Sunday games from 2014-2024, covering the spread 48.7% of the time. This represents a below-average performance against the spread in Sunday matchups.

Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -6.9% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Thunder on Sundays.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Thunder's 48.7% ATS win rate in Sunday games is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. The -6.9% ROI suggests significantly worse performance than typical NBA betting markets.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.