Oklahoma City Thunder Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 134-139-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-15-0 | 0.0% | -19.2% |
| 2015 | 16-14-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2016 | 12-7-0 | 0.0% | +20.6% |
| 2017 | 12-14-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2018 | 14-15-0 | 0.0% | -7.8% |
| 2019 | 11-13-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
| 2020 | 13-9-0 | 0.0% | +12.8% |
| 2021 | 12-12-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 12-16-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 13-12-0 | 0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2024 | 8-12-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Thunder's struggles with extended rest stem from their identity as a young, high-energy team that thrives on rhythm and momentum. Oklahoma City has consistently built rosters around athletic, fast-paced players who benefit from staying in game flow rather than having time to overthink. When given three or more days off, this team historically loses the aggressive edge that defines their best basketball. The franchise's coaching philosophy has long emphasized defensive intensity and transition opportunities, both of which suffer when players are mentally rusty coming off extended breaks. Young cores, which have been a Thunder constant through various rebuilding phases, tend to be more susceptible to timing issues and communication breakdowns after layoffs. The team's reliance on chemistry-dependent offensive sets also deteriorates when players haven't been on the court together regularly. Market perception often overvalues the "rest advantage" for athletic teams like Oklahoma City, creating line value on opponents who maintain better preparation habits during breaks. The Thunder's poor recent form after rest suggests this pattern persists regardless of roster changes. This trend carries the most weight when Oklahoma City faces disciplined, veteran-heavy opponents who use extended preparation time more effectively than the Thunder's typically younger rotation.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The Oklahoma City Thunder has gone 134-139-0 against the spread when playing with three or more days of rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.1% ATS win rate over 273 total games.
Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as three or more days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Thunder with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -6.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 134-139 ATS record indicates they've failed to cover the spread more often than not in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Thunder's 49.1% ATS win rate with extended rest is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point. While not significantly worse than average, the -6.3% ROI suggests consistent underperformance against market expectations in this spot.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.