Oklahoma City Thunder Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Oklahoma City Thunder hold a record of 120-81-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +14.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $28 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-9-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2015 | 15-8-0 | 0.0% | +24.5% |
| 2016 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
| 2017 | 11-5-0 | 0.0% | +31.2% |
| 2018 | 8-9-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2019 | 11-7-0 | 0.0% | +16.7% |
| 2020 | 14-5-0 | 0.0% | +40.7% |
| 2021 | 10-6-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2022 | 12-11-0 | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2023 | 11-6-0 | 0.0% | +23.5% |
| 2024 | 10-12-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Thunder's success as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational culture of exceeding expectations and their young core's fearless approach to big moments. Oklahoma City has consistently built rosters that play with house money mentality, particularly during their rebuilding phases where players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey thrive without the pressure of championship expectations. The franchise's emphasis on player development creates scenarios where nationally televised games become showcases for emerging talent to prove themselves against established stars. Their coaching staff, particularly under Mark Daigneault, excels at game-planning for marquee matchups where preparation time is maximized. The Thunder's pace-and-space system becomes more effective in primetime settings when opponents often overlook their cohesion and ball movement, focusing instead on individual matchups. The team's youth also provides an energy advantage in late-night games where veteran-heavy favorites might experience fatigue. Bettors should target Thunder primetime spots when they're facing teams on back-to-backs or squads with known chemistry issues, as Oklahoma City's collective identity often overwhelms more talented but less cohesive opponents. This trend carries the most weight when the Thunder are catching points against Western Conference contenders who view them as a "get-right" game.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 120-81-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 59.7% ATS win rate over 201 games.
Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as primetime underdogs has been profitable with a 14.0% ROI. Despite the 0.0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance makes them a profitable underdog bet.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Thunder's 59.7% ATS win rate as primetime underdogs significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average. Their 14.0% ROI indicates they consistently exceed market expectations in these spots.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.