The public often underestimates the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Oklahoma City Thunder hold a record of 57-46-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +5.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $6 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record57-46-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size103 games
ROI+5.7%
Units Won+5.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-7-00.0%-30.6%
20158-2-00.0%+52.7%
20166-2-00.0%+43.2%
20175-3-00.0%+19.3%
20186-7-00.0%-11.9%
20195-4-00.0%+6.1%
20207-1-00.0%+67.0%
20213-5-00.0%-28.4%
20225-7-00.0%-20.4%
20234-1-00.0%+52.7%
20244-7-00.0%-30.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Thunder's strong performance as home underdogs stems from their organizational culture of exceeding expectations and thriving in adversity. Oklahoma City has consistently built competitive teams through player development rather than marquee free agent signings, creating rosters that play with a chip on their shoulder when disrespected by oddsmakers. This mentality becomes amplified at Paycom Center, where the passionate fanbase creates an electric atmosphere that particularly energizes young, hungry players who feel they have something to prove. The franchise's strategic approach under Sam Presti emphasizes depth, versatility, and defensive intensity - qualities that translate exceptionally well when facing superior opponents at home. Teams often struggle to match Oklahoma City's energy and pace in their building, especially when they enter as road favorites expecting an easier matchup. The Thunder's ability to push tempo and force opponents into uncomfortable situations becomes magnified when they're playing loose as underdogs. Bettors should target Thunder home underdog spots when they're facing teams on the second night of back-to-backs or clubs with significant travel disadvantages, as Oklahoma City's conditioning and home-court energy create the perfect storm for upsets. This trend matters most during the middle portion of the season when teams begin to take certain matchups for granted and Oklahoma City's young core hits their developmental stride.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as home underdog?

The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 57-46-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 55.3% ATS win rate over 103 games.

Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Thunder as home underdogs has been profitable with a 5.7% ROI. Despite the positive return, their 0.0% straight-up win rate indicates they rarely win these games outright.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Thunder's 55.3% ATS win rate as home underdogs is above the typical league average of around 50%. Their 5.7% ROI demonstrates consistent value in this betting situation over the 10-year period.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.