The Oklahoma City Thunder show mixed results as home after 2+ losses. Since 2014, they're 119-113-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record119-113-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size232 games
ROI-2.1%
Units Won-4.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201410-14-00.0%-20.4%
201514-10-00.0%+11.4%
201614-7-00.0%+27.3%
201714-11-00.0%+6.9%
201812-13-00.0%-8.4%
20198-9-00.0%-10.2%
202014-8-00.0%+21.5%
202110-10-00.0%-4.5%
20228-13-00.0%-27.3%
202310-9-00.0%+0.5%
20245-9-00.0%-31.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Thunder's struggles as home favorites after multiple losses reveal a franchise caught between competitive expectations and developmental reality. Oklahoma City has operated as a rebuilding organization for much of this timeframe, yet their young core often generates inflated public perception and betting lines when returning home following road struggles. This creates a classic market inefficiency where casual bettors overvalue the perceived "bounce-back" narrative. The psychological component runs deeper than simple momentum. Young teams like the Thunder tend to press when facing adversity, leading to forced shots and defensive breakdowns against opponents who arrive with nothing to lose. The home crowd's expectations can amplify this pressure, particularly when the team has already shown vulnerability through consecutive defeats. Oklahoma City's roster construction during most seasons has emphasized development over immediate results, making them susceptible to inconsistent effort levels in spots where veteran leadership typically provides stability. The recent downturn suggests this pattern may be intensifying as the franchise transitions from rebuilding to playoff contention. Bettors should target this spot when the Thunder face motivated underdogs with strong recent form, particularly in nationally televised games where the pressure to perform at home becomes magnified. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when expectations are highest and developmental patience wears thin.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?

The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 119-113-0 ATS record when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.3% ATS win rate over 232 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as home after 2+ losses profitable?

No, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder at home after 2+ losses has not been profitable, showing a -2.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread slightly more than half the time, the negative return indicates the betting juice has eroded any potential profits.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Thunder's 51.3% ATS win rate in this situation is slightly above the typical 50% baseline expected in spread betting. However, the -2.1% ROI suggests this marginal edge isn't enough to overcome standard sportsbook vigorish of around 4-5%.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.