Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Oklahoma City Thunder show mixed results as home games. Since 2014, they're 119-114-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-15-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 14-10-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2016 | 14-7-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 14-11-0 | 0.0% | +6.9% |
| 2018 | 12-13-0 | 0.0% | -8.4% |
| 2019 | 8-9-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2020 | 14-8-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2021 | 10-10-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 8-13-0 | 0.0% | -27.3% |
| 2023 | 10-9-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2024 | 5-9-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Thunder's home court struggles stem from inflated public expectations and a consistently young, inconsistent roster that hasn't developed the mental fortitude to handle pressure situations at Paycom Center. Oklahoma City's rebuilding philosophy has prioritized development over winning, creating a team that often plays loose on the road but tightens up when home crowds expect dominant performances. This psychological burden is amplified by the Thunder's reliance on young stars who haven't yet learned to channel home energy into consistent execution. The franchise's transition from the Kevin Durant era to their current youth movement has left them without veteran leadership capable of managing game flow and closing out tight contests at home. Their offensive system, built around pace and three-point volume, becomes predictable for opponents who have extra preparation time and film study advantages when visiting Oklahoma City. The Thunder's defensive schemes also tend to break down in crucial moments when home crowd pressure peaks. Bettors should target Thunder home games when they're favored by more than six points, as the team consistently fails to meet elevated expectations in comfortable spots. This trend carries the most weight during nationally televised games and playoff race scenarios when external pressure amplifies their home court demons.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as home games?
The Oklahoma City Thunder has an ATS record of 119-114-0 in home games from 2014-2024. This represents a 51.1% ATS win rate over 233 total home games during this period.
Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as home games profitable?
No, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder in home games has not been profitable, showing a -2.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread slightly more often than not, the negative return indicates losses after accounting for standard betting juice.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Thunder's 51.1% home ATS rate is slightly above the typical 50% baseline but below what's needed for profitability. Most successful ATS trends require 52.4% or higher win rates to overcome standard sportsbook vigorish and generate positive returns.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.