Oklahoma City Thunder Away Underdog on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog on zero rest, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 5-6-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Thunder's struggles as away underdogs on zero rest stem from their historically young roster construction and reliance on explosive athleticism rather than veteran savvy. When facing back-to-back situations on the road while already positioned as underdogs, Oklahoma City's energy-dependent style becomes compromised. Their fast-paced offensive system, built around transition opportunities and high-motor defensive rotations, loses its edge when legs are heavy and reaction times slow. The psychological burden compounds the physical limitations. Playing as road underdogs already puts pressure on young players to prove themselves, and the fatigue factor amplifies poor decision-making in crucial moments. The Thunder's tendency to rely on individual brilliance rather than systematic execution becomes problematic when star players are operating at less than peak physical condition. Travel fatigue particularly impacts their three-point shooting and defensive closeouts, two areas where split-second timing makes the difference between covering spreads and falling short. The team's inconsistent bench depth throughout various seasons has meant starters carry heavier minutes, making the zero-rest disadvantage more pronounced. This trend carries the most weight when the Thunder face elite home teams with strong crowd support, where the energy deficit becomes insurmountable against well-rested opponents playing with house money.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as away underdog on zero rest?
The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 5-6-0 ATS record as away underdogs on zero rest from 2014-2024. This represents 11 total games with a 45.5% ATS win rate.
Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as away underdog on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Thunder as away underdogs on zero rest is not profitable. The trend shows a -13.2% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate over the 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below league average for away underdogs on zero rest. The Thunder's 45.5% ATS rate and negative ROI indicate they struggle more than typical teams in this specific situation.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.