The data suggests caution when backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away games, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 95-111-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.0%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record95-111-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size206 games
ROI-12.0%
Units Won-24.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-6-00.0%+9.1%
201512-13-00.0%-8.4%
20165-8-00.0%-26.6%
20179-8-00.0%+1.1%
20186-12-00.0%-36.4%
20199-11-00.0%-14.1%
202010-12-00.0%-13.2%
20218-9-00.0%-10.2%
202210-11-00.0%-9.1%
202310-10-00.0%-4.5%
20248-11-00.0%-19.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Thunder's poor away spread performance stems from their reliance on explosive offensive bursts that prove difficult to sustain in hostile environments. Oklahoma City has historically built their identity around dynamic guard play and transition offense, both of which become less reliable on the road where crowd energy disrupts rhythm and communication. Their young core, while talented, lacks the veteran composure needed to maintain offensive flow against energized home crowds who can effectively neutralize their fast-break opportunities. The team's defensive inconsistencies become magnified in road settings, particularly their tendency to allow opposing role players to exceed expectations. Thunder opponents often shoot better from three-point range at home, exploiting Oklahoma City's sometimes lackadaisical perimeter rotations. This creates inflated scoring environments that favor the home team, making it challenging for the Thunder to cover spreads even when they compete well. Smart bettors should target Thunder road games against teams with strong home court advantages and reliable three-point shooting. The value often lies in taking the home team, especially when the spread appears modest relative to the venue's impact. This trend carries the most weight during playoff races when road environments intensify and young teams struggle most with pressure situations away from home.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as away games?

The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 95-111-0 ATS record in away games from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 95 games while failing to cover in 111 games. This translates to a 46.1% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.

Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as away games profitable?

No, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder in away games has not been profitable, showing a -12.0% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates that bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Thunder on the road against the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Thunder's 46.1% ATS win rate in away games is below the typical 50% league average expected for spread betting. Their -12.0% ROI significantly underperforms compared to the break-even point that most teams should achieve over a large sample size.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.