The public often underestimates the New York Knicks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the New York Knicks hold a record of 40-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +6.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $4 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record40-32-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size72 games
ROI+6.1%
Units Won+4.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-2-00.0%+27.3%
20156-1-00.0%+63.6%
20167-5-00.0%+11.4%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20183-5-00.0%-28.4%
20192-3-00.0%-23.6%
20206-2-00.0%+43.2%
20213-3-00.0%-4.5%
20220-3-00.0%-100.0%
20233-5-00.0%-28.4%
20245-1-00.0%+59.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Knicks' success as medium underdogs stems from their identity as a defensively-oriented team that thrives when expectations are lowered. When spotted 3.5 to 7 points, New York typically faces superior offensive teams, which paradoxically plays into their strengths. The Knicks' defensive schemes become more effective against high-powered offenses that may approach these games with overconfidence, leading to contested shots and disrupted rhythm. Madison Square Garden's unique atmosphere amplifies this dynamic. When the Knicks are moderate underdogs at home, the crowd energy creates an environment where opponents struggle to execute their usual offensive flow. The team's blue-collar mentality under various coaching regimes has consistently responded well to being counted out but not written off entirely - the sweet spot where they're motivated without being overwhelmed. The psychological element cannot be understated. Medium underdog status suggests respect for the Knicks' competitiveness while acknowledging their limitations. This positioning allows players to play freely without the pressure of being favored, yet with enough belief that an upset is achievable. This trend carries the most weight during nationally televised games at MSG and against teams on winning streaks, where opponent complacency meets maximum Knicks motivation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Knicks's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The New York Knicks have a 40-32-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 55.6% ATS win rate in this betting situation.

Is betting on the New York Knicks as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Knicks as medium underdogs has been profitable with a 6.1% ROI. Their 55.6% ATS win rate in this spot has generated positive returns for bettors over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Knicks' 55.6% ATS win rate as medium underdogs is above the typical 50% league average expected in spread betting. Their 6.1% ROI indicates they've been a profitable bet in this specific underdog range.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.