The data suggests caution when backing the New York Knicks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the New York Knicks are just 17-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -24.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +24.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record17-26-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size43 games
ROI-24.5%
Units Won-10.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-1-00.0%+27.3%
20153-1-00.0%+43.2%
20160-2-00.0%-100.0%
20172-3-00.0%-23.6%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20191-5-00.0%-68.2%
20200-3-00.0%-100.0%
20211-4-00.0%-61.8%
20223-3-00.0%-4.5%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Knicks' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of psychological fragility and organizational instability that has plagued the franchise for decades. When New York loses at home, the immediate pressure from media and fans creates a mental burden that travels with the team. As road favorites in the subsequent game, they're expected to bounce back against theoretically weaker competition, but this expectation often backfires. The franchise's historically inconsistent coaching and roster turnover has prevented the development of strong leadership and mental toughness needed to handle adversity on the road. Unlike championship-caliber teams that use losses as motivation, the Knicks often compound their problems with poor shot selection and defensive breakdowns when facing the additional pressure of being favored away from home. New York's young core has frequently lacked the veteran presence necessary to maintain composure in hostile environments after disappointing performances. The team tends to play tight and overthink situations rather than letting their talent flow naturally. Bettors should be particularly wary of backing the Knicks in this spot when they're favored by more than four points on the road, as the spread often overvalues their talent while underestimating their mental fragility. This trend matters most during stretches when the team is fighting for playoff positioning and external pressure peaks.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Knicks's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The New York Knicks have gone 17-26-0 against the spread as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 39.5% ATS win rate over 43 games.

Is betting on the New York Knicks as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Knicks as away favorites after a loss has been unprofitable with a -24.5% ROI. This trend shows consistent losses for bettors over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the typical 50% expectation for ATS betting. The Knicks' 39.5% win rate in this situation represents one of the worse situational trends in the NBA.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.