The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 107-120-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.0%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record107-120-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size227 games
ROI-10.0%
Units Won-22.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-14-00.0%-16.0%
201515-15-00.0%-4.5%
201611-10-00.0%0.0%
201710-12-00.0%-13.2%
20184-9-00.0%-41.3%
201913-16-00.0%-14.4%
202010-8-00.0%+6.1%
20216-13-00.0%-39.7%
20227-4-00.0%+21.5%
20238-6-00.0%+9.1%
202412-13-00.0%-8.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pelicans' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their inconsistent roster construction and developmental focus over the past decade. New Orleans has frequently been in transition, either rebuilding around Anthony Davis, navigating his departure, or integrating young talent around Zion Williamson. This constant flux creates particular challenges when facing unfamiliar opponents, as the team lacks the institutional memory and strategic familiarity that comes with established systems. Non-conference games often expose the Pelicans' defensive communication issues more acutely. Against Western Conference rivals, they benefit from repetition and scouting familiarity, but Eastern Conference matchups reveal their tendency to struggle with pick-and-roll coverage and rotations against unfamiliar offensive schemes. The team's young core has historically shown less adaptability in these one-off encounters, particularly on the road where crowd energy and unfamiliar environments compound their execution problems. The coaching instability throughout this period has also hindered their ability to make effective in-game adjustments against teams they rarely face. When the Pelicans do succeed in non-conference play, it's typically when their superior athleticism can overcome tactical disadvantages. This trend carries the most weight during early-season non-conference stretches when rust and unfamiliarity intersect, making fade opportunities particularly valuable in November and December.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The New Orleans Pelicans have gone 107-120-0 against the spread when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 47.1% ATS win rate over 227 games.

Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -10.0% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the betting line.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Pelicans' 47.1% ATS win rate against non-conference teams is below the typical 50% break-even point for spread betting. Their -10.0% ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads against teams from the opposite conference more often than the average NBA team.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.