The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 81-95-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.1%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record81-95-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size176 games
ROI-12.1%
Units Won-21.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-8-00.0%-18.2%
20154-11-00.0%-49.1%
20167-7-00.0%-4.5%
20176-14-00.0%-42.7%
20185-6-00.0%-13.2%
201910-10-00.0%-4.5%
202015-6-00.0%+36.4%
20215-10-00.0%-36.4%
202210-4-00.0%+36.4%
20234-11-00.0%-49.1%
20249-8-00.0%+1.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pelicans' struggles against conference opponents stem from their perpetual identity crisis as a franchise caught between rebuilding and competing. Unlike teams with established cultures, New Orleans has cycled through different cores and coaching philosophies, making it difficult to develop the consistent game plans needed to exploit familiar divisional rivals. Conference opponents have extensive scouting reports on the Pelicans' tendencies, while New Orleans has lacked the organizational stability to counter-adjust effectively. The franchise's roster construction has historically prioritized individual talent over complementary pieces, creating matchup vulnerabilities that savvy conference coaches exploit repeatedly. Teams in the Western Conference particularly understand how to attack the Pelicans' defensive weaknesses and force their offense into isolation-heavy possessions that play into opponents' hands. The psychological weight of being underdogs in their own conference has also created a defeatist mentality in close games against familiar foes. Smart bettors should target conference opponents when they're catching points against New Orleans, especially in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds contempt. This trend carries the most weight during the final two months of the season when conference positioning becomes critical and opponents have maximum intel on the Pelicans' rotations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as vs conference opponent?

The New Orleans Pelicans have an 81-95-0 ATS record when playing against conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.0% ATS win rate over 176 games.

Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as vs conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans against conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -12.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 46.0% ATS win rate falls below the 52.4% needed to break even on standard -110 bets.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Pelicans' 46.0% ATS win rate against conference opponents is below the typical league average of around 50%. Their -12.1% ROI indicates significantly worse performance than average teams in conference matchups.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.