The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as two days rest, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 18-28-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -25.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +25.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record18-28-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size46 games
ROI-25.3%
Units Won-11.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20161-3-00.0%-52.3%
20172-4-00.0%-36.4%
20181-2-00.0%-36.4%
20192-6-00.0%-52.3%
20202-2-00.0%-4.5%
20213-5-00.0%-28.4%
20220-1-00.0%-100.0%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%
20243-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pelicans' struggles with two days of rest appear tied to their organizational instability and roster construction over the past decade. New Orleans has consistently been a team in transition, cycling through coaches, front office personnel, and core players at a rate that makes establishing consistent preparation routines nearly impossible. When teams have extended rest, they typically benefit from additional practice time and strategic preparation, but the Pelicans have lacked the institutional consistency to capitalize on these advantages. The franchise's reliance on injury-prone stars like Anthony Davis and later Zion Williamson has created a culture where game plans constantly shift based on personnel availability. Two days of rest often means more time for key players to develop minor injuries or for coaching staffs to overthink adjustments, leading to disjointed performances against opponents who may be playing with better rhythm and continuity. From a betting perspective, the most actionable insight is to fade the Pelicans when they're favored coming off extended rest, particularly against teams playing on shorter rest who maintain better game-to-game consistency. This trend carries the most weight when New Orleans faces divisional opponents or teams with established veteran leadership, as these matchups expose the Pelicans' preparation deficiencies most clearly.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as two days rest?

The New Orleans Pelicans have an ATS record of 18-28-0 when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 39.1% ATS win rate over 46 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans with two days rest has not been profitable. The team shows a -25.3% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in this situation from 2014-2024.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below league average, as most teams typically perform around 50% ATS. The Pelicans' 39.1% ATS rate with two days rest indicates they consistently fail to meet betting expectations in this scenario.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.