New Orleans Pelicans Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 60-62-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 4-8-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2018 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 8-9-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2020 | 10-5-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 4-10-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2022 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2023 | 7-7-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pelicans' struggles as home underdogs stem from a franchise identity crisis that has persisted through multiple rebuilding phases. New Orleans has historically been caught between competing priorities - developing young talent while trying to remain competitive for their passionate but small fanbase. This creates a psychological burden where players feel pressure to perform at home despite being overmatched against superior opponents. The team's roster construction has often featured talented but inconsistent pieces around a marquee star, whether Anthony Davis or Zion Williamson. When facing better teams at home, the Pelicans tend to rely too heavily on individual brilliance rather than executing disciplined game plans. Their young core frequently gets caught up in the energy of the Smoothie King Center crowd, leading to rushed possessions and poor shot selection against teams that can exploit these mental lapses. New Orleans also struggles with depth issues that become magnified in underdog spots. Their starters can hang with elite competition for stretches, but bench units often surrender leads, forcing coaches into difficult rotation decisions that disrupt rhythm. This trend matters most when the Pelicans face playoff-caliber teams during crucial home stretches, particularly when they're fighting for postseason positioning and the emotional weight of expectations collides with roster limitations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as home underdog?
The New Orleans Pelicans have a 60-62-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.2% ATS win rate over 122 games.
Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as home underdog profitable?
No, betting on the Pelicans as home underdogs is not profitable with a -6.1% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors over the 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Pelicans' 49.2% ATS win rate as home underdogs is slightly below the typical 50% break-even point. Their -6.1% ROI suggests underperformance compared to average home underdog situations across the league.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.