New Orleans Pelicans As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 90-136-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -24.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +24.0%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-15-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 8-18-0 | 0.0% | -41.3% |
| 2016 | 9-8-0 | 0.0% | +1.1% |
| 2017 | 10-18-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2018 | 4-8-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 15-19-0 | 0.0% | -15.8% |
| 2020 | 15-7-0 | 0.0% | +30.2% |
| 2021 | 6-12-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 5-8-0 | 0.0% | -26.6% |
| 2023 | 4-9-0 | 0.0% | -41.3% |
| 2024 | 9-14-0 | 0.0% | -25.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pelicans' struggles as favorites stem from their organizational instability and inconsistent roster construction over the past decade. This franchise has endured constant front office changes, coaching turnover, and star player departures that create an identity crisis when expected to control games. New Orleans often finds itself favored against weaker opponents during brief hot streaks, but lacks the veteran leadership and defensive consistency needed to close out games they're supposed to win. The team's offensive-minded approach, built around talented scorers like Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, creates a deceptive perception of dominance that oddsmakers and the public overvalue. However, their defensive lapses and poor late-game execution consistently allow inferior teams to stay competitive or steal victories outright. The Pelicans also struggle with motivation against lesser competition, a common trait among young, talented teams that haven't developed championship-level focus. Smart bettors should be particularly wary when New Orleans is favored by more than 6 points at home, where crowd expectations amplify the pressure. The trend becomes most exploitable during the middle portion of the season when the Pelicans face bottom-tier Eastern Conference opponents on favorable scheduling spots.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as as favorite?
The New Orleans Pelicans have an ATS record of 90-136-0 when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 39.8% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances by any team when laying points over this timeframe.
Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -24.0% ROI over the past decade. A $100 bettor would have lost $24 on average for every $100 wagered on the Pelicans when they were favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as favorites typically cover around 48-50% of spreads. The Pelicans' 39.8% cover rate as favorites ranks among the worst in the NBA during this period.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.