New Orleans Pelicans Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 23-35-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -24.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +24.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2020 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2022 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pelicans' struggles as road favorites following defeats stem from a franchise-wide pattern of inconsistent leadership and fragile confidence that has persisted across different roster iterations. When New Orleans loses at home, the psychological reset required to immediately bounce back as a favorite on the road proves particularly challenging for a team that has historically lacked veteran leadership and mental toughness. The organization's frequent roster turnover and coaching changes since 2014 have prevented the development of the institutional resilience needed to handle adversity effectively. Road favorites must overcome both the inherent difficulty of winning away from home and the additional pressure of being expected to win despite coming off a loss. The Pelicans have consistently shown they struggle with this dual burden, often playing tight and failing to execute in crucial moments. Their offensive system, which has traditionally relied heavily on individual talent rather than cohesive team play, becomes even more predictable when facing motivated home underdogs who can gameplan specifically for their tendencies. Smart bettors should target the Pelicans' opponents when New Orleans fits this profile, particularly early in road trips when travel fatigue compounds their psychological disadvantage. This trend carries the most weight when the Pelicans are small favorites of three points or fewer, where their mental fragility can easily overcome a modest talent advantage.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The New Orleans Pelicans have a 23-35-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 39.7% ATS win rate over 58 games in this situation.
Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. The strategy shows a -24.3% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate, indicating consistent losses.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below league average, as most teams typically win around 50% of their games as favorites. The Pelicans' 0.0% win rate in this spot represents one of the worst situational trends in the NBA.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.