New Orleans Pelicans After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 102-111-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-12-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 9-11-0 | 0.0% | -14.1% |
| 2016 | 11-9-0 | 0.0% | +5.0% |
| 2017 | 6-16-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2018 | 6-6-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 8-17-0 | 0.0% | -38.9% |
| 2020 | 23-9-0 | 0.0% | +37.2% |
| 2021 | 5-7-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2022 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2023 | 4-8-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 13-8-0 | 0.0% | +18.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pelicans' struggles after victories stem from a combination of organizational instability and roster construction issues that have plagued the franchise throughout much of this sample period. New Orleans has cycled through multiple coaching staffs and front office regimes, creating inconsistent messaging about preparation and game-to-game focus. The team's reliance on high-usage stars like Anthony Davis historically, and now Zion Williamson, creates a feast-or-famine dynamic where role players often struggle to maintain their rhythm when the primary option has an off night following a strong performance. The franchise's youth movement has also contributed to this pattern. Young players naturally experience emotional swings, and the Pelicans have consistently fielded rosters with significant inexperience. When confidence runs high after a win, these players often fall into the trap of assuming success will come easily in the next game, leading to poor shot selection and defensive lapses. The team's offensive system, which heavily emphasizes transition play and three-point shooting, amplifies these inconsistencies since both elements require sustained focus and energy. Bettors should be particularly wary of backing New Orleans as road favorites after home wins, where the letdown effect combines with travel fatigue. This trend carries the most weight during stretches where the Pelicans are playing well above expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as after a win?
The New Orleans Pelicans have an ATS record of 102-111-0 after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.9% ATS win rate over 213 games.
Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans after a win is not profitable. The team has generated a negative ROI of -8.6% in this situation over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Pelicans' 47.9% ATS win rate after wins is below the expected 50% break-even point. This underperformance suggests the betting market may overvalue the team following victories.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.