The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 115-131-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.8%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record115-131-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size246 games
ROI-10.8%
Units Won-26.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-13-00.0%-8.4%
201512-16-00.0%-18.2%
201610-10-00.0%-4.5%
201713-12-00.0%-0.7%
20187-13-00.0%-33.2%
201919-12-00.0%+17.0%
20208-4-00.0%+27.3%
20218-17-00.0%-38.9%
20227-4-00.0%+21.5%
20239-13-00.0%-21.9%
202410-17-00.0%-29.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pelicans' struggles after losses stem from a combination of organizational instability and roster construction issues that have plagued the franchise for nearly a decade. New Orleans has cycled through multiple coaching staffs and front office personnel since 2014, creating inconsistent messaging and preparation methods that become magnified in bounce-back situations. When teams face adversity, they typically rely on established systems and veteran leadership to reset mentally and tactically. The Pelicans' roster composition has consistently skewed young and inexperienced, particularly during their rebuilding phases around Anthony Davis's departure and Zion Williamson's early career. Young players often compound mistakes after losses rather than learning from them immediately, leading to emotional swings that translate poorly against the spread. The team's defensive schemes have also been notoriously inconsistent, making it difficult to implement quick adjustments that veteran-laden teams execute seamlessly. New Orleans tends to overcompensate offensively after poor performances, abandoning ball movement for isolation plays that play directly into opponents' scouting reports. This reactive approach creates predictable betting spots for sharp money. This trend carries the most weight when the Pelicans face quality opponents on short rest, where their inability to process and correct mistakes becomes most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as after a loss?

The New Orleans Pelicans have an ATS record of 115-131-0 (46.7%) when playing after a loss from 2014-2024. This means they have failed to cover the spread in 131 of their 246 games following losses.

Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans after a loss is not profitable, with a -10.8% ROI over the past decade. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Pelicans in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 46.7% ATS rate is below the league average of approximately 50%, making the Pelicans a poor bet after losses. Their -10.8% ROI significantly underperforms compared to typical betting expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.