Minnesota Timberwolves Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Minnesota Timberwolves show mixed results as home underdog. Since 2014, they're 62-52-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +3.8%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2015 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 8-5-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2017 | 9-5-0 | 0.0% | +22.7% |
| 2018 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2022 | 9-2-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2023 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2024 | 8-7-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Timberwolves' success as home underdogs stems from their ability to elevate their play when expectations are lowered and the Target Center crowd rallies behind them. Minnesota has historically been a team that thrives on emotion and energy, particularly when facing superior opponents at home where they can dictate pace and physicality. The franchise's young core, led by Anthony Edwards and supported by veterans like Jaden McDaniels, tends to play with more freedom and aggression when the pressure shifts to their opponents. Minnesota's defensive identity becomes more pronounced in underdog scenarios, as they can afford to gamble more on steals and blocks without worrying about maintaining leads. Their transition offense, one of the league's most explosive when clicking, benefits from these defensive stops and creates momentum swings that home crowds amplify. The team's inconsistency actually works in their favor as underdogs - opponents often struggle to prepare for which version of Minnesota will show up. The most actionable insight for bettors is recognizing that Minnesota's home underdog value peaks against playoff-caliber teams during nationally televised games, where the spotlight motivates their young talent to showcase their abilities. This trend matters most when Minnesota faces Western Conference contenders in primetime slots during the regular season's middle stretch.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Minnesota Timberwolves's ATS record as home underdog?
The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 62-52-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 54.4% ATS win rate over 114 games.
Is betting on the Minnesota Timberwolves as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Timberwolves as home underdogs has been profitable with a 3.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread 54.4% of the time, the positive ROI indicates value in these betting situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Timberwolves' 54.4% ATS win rate as home underdogs is above the typical league average of around 50%. Their 3.8% ROI also suggests they've been a profitable home underdog bet over this 10-year period.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.