Minnesota Timberwolves After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Minnesota Timberwolves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Minnesota Timberwolves are just 99-113-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-7-0 | 0.0% | +12.3% |
| 2015 | 3-11-0 | 0.0% | -59.1% |
| 2016 | 4-15-0 | 0.0% | -59.8% |
| 2017 | 18-12-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 10-11-0 | 0.0% | -9.1% |
| 2019 | 13-8-0 | 0.0% | +18.2% |
| 2020 | 8-11-0 | 0.0% | -19.6% |
| 2021 | 6-9-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 8-11-0 | 0.0% | -19.6% |
| 2023 | 8-6-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2024 | 11-12-0 | 0.0% | -8.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Timberwolves' struggles after victories stem from a combination of organizational instability and roster construction issues that have plagued the franchise for most of the past decade. Minnesota has historically lacked the veteran leadership and championship mentality needed to maintain focus following positive results. Young, talent-heavy rosters often experience emotional letdowns after big wins, and the Wolves have consistently fielded teams built around developing players rather than seasoned professionals who understand the grind of an 82-game season. The franchise's coaching carousel has also contributed significantly to this pattern. Frequent system changes and inconsistent messaging have prevented players from developing the habits necessary for sustained success. When different coaches emphasize different approaches to preparation and game-to-game consistency, teams naturally struggle with the mental aspects of maintaining intensity after emotional highs. Minnesota's offensive-heavy identity creates additional vulnerabilities in these spots. Teams that rely heavily on shot-making and offensive rhythm are more susceptible to variance, especially when opponents make adjustments or when the natural adrenaline from a previous win subsides. Bettors should target Minnesota as road underdogs in back-to-back situations following home wins, particularly against defensively sound opponents who can exploit their tendency toward complacency.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Minnesota Timberwolves's ATS record as after a win?
The Minnesota Timberwolves have gone 99-113-0 against the spread (ATS) after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.7% ATS win rate over 212 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Minnesota Timberwolves as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Timberwolves after a win has not been profitable, showing a -10.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Minnesota in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Timberwolves' 46.7% ATS rate after wins is below the typical 50% league average expected for ATS performance. Their -10.8% ROI significantly underperforms compared to break-even betting expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.